![]() ![]() Considering that this bloc made up 40 percent of the overall caucus vote, it’s possible that after New Hampshire, Sanders might attempt consider nibbling away at Clinton’s lead by inching closer to the center. But Clinton only carried the “somewhat liberal” vote by six points. Clinton performed well with moderates, beating Sanders by 23 points, and Sanders won the “very liberal” crowd with a 19-point margin. The rest of the results fell in line with conventional wisdom. In contrast, only 44 percent of voters said they were caucusing for the first time in 2016, and Clinton carried returning voters by a 2-to-1 margin. In 2008, Obama was able to win Iowa by amassing a historic turnout wherein 22 percent of voters were in the youth category and 57 percent of caucus-goers described themselves as first-time participants. While Sanders outperformed Obama with young voters Monday night, only 18 percent of caucus-goers were in that demographic sweet spot. (Sanders, aware of this, has pledged to make inroads with African-American and Latino voters.)īut Sanders might not be able to claim that he’s pulling a Barack Obama quite yet. She also won 6 out of 10 non-white voters, a mere 9 percent of Iowans but an early favorable sign for her success in minority-heavy states, which she is predicted to carry. The 17-to-29-year-old demographic, many of them college students, reportedly swayed fellow Democrats during the caucus process, too, while Clinton held steady with middle-aged voters, winning 60 percent of the 50-plus crowd. So close, that in some cases a coin flip was actually used to decide which candidate would win a county delegate. Bernie Sanders was incredibly close Monday night. ![]() The paper has reached out to the state Democratic Party for a complete accounting of each coin-flip event.)Īccording to entrance poll data, Sanders nearly defeated Clinton with a surge of support among youth, who voted for the self-described democratic socialist by an 80-to-20 margin. The Iowa Democratic caucus race between former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Vermont Sen. Later in the day, an Iowa Democratic Party spokesman told the Register that seven coin-flips were reported, but that Sanders had won six of them, contradicting earlier reporting. ( Update: 6:00 P.M.: At least two coin-flips in Sanders’ favor were reported Tuesday by NBC News’ Frank Thorp. Clinton won all six coin flips, according to the Register, apparently proving Sanders’s point about the influence of money on politics. Those up-for-grabs delegates, while not the same as the statewide delegate equivalents that constitute the final results, were factored in to the equation that determined the final tally of 700.59 for Clinton and 696.82 for Sanders. The split decision demonstrates that Sanders’ “political revolution” has real power - but hasn’t yet built enough muscle to topple the Clinton juggernaut.Hillary Clinton may have secured her extremely slim victory in the Iowa Democratic caucuses Monday night thanks to several contested county delegates that were determined by flipping a coin-as in, real coins being tossed in the air-underscoring exactly how close the race is between the former secretary of state and Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, who has yet to admit defeat in Iowa and is poised to win next week in New Hampshire.Īt least six caucuses were split between Clinton and Sanders, The Des Moines Register reported Tuesday, and thanks to an old, obscure Democratic Party rule, the winner of the county delegates had to be decided by a coin flip. The Sanders campaign strategy had been to win the first two contests, puncture Clinton’s air of inevitability, and build, delegate by delegate, to the convention. The outcome is good for Clinton - but not fatal for Sanders. Measured by delegates to the national Democratic convention - the most important outcome - Clinton appeared to edge Sanders 23-21. As of early Tuesday morning, Clinton led that count 700 to 695, a difference of just 0.4 percent. Clinton reportedly won six such coin flips.Īdding to the complexity: The county delegate count then gets re-calculated as the “state delegate equivalent” tally published by most news outlets. In several precincts there were ties or disputed counts, leaving “orphaned” delegates to be apportioned by a coin flip. Instead, the contest is fought, precinct by precinct, over each precinct’s share of county-convention delegates. Under the convoluted rules of the party’s caucus system, nobody keeps a grand vote tally. Iowa Democrats don’t practice direct democracy. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |